Fairleigh Dickinson 
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 72.4006
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 8-12
212 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 5-15
214 N Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 5-16
218 A Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 16-10
221 A Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 3-20
228 H Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 10- 9
307 H Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 11- 6
310 H Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 11- 9
314 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 16- 5
321 A LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 8-13
325 H New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 11- 8
328 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 8- 7
404 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 10-17
408 A Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 13- 6
411 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 19- 2
418 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 7-11
425 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 11- 6
430 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Rider 8-12 -4 2 -- -5.51
212 A San Diego State 5-15 -10 -9 -1.43
214 N Oregon 5-16 -11 -9 -1.62
218 A Manhattan 16-10 6 -1 +++ 6.96
221 A Siena 3-20 -17 -11 - -3.15
228 H Iona 10- 9 1 1 0.07
307 H Austin Peay 11- 6 5 3 + 2.46
310 H Presbyterian 11- 9 2 3 -0.99
314 A Central Connecticut 16- 5 11 8 + 3.19
321 A LIU 8-13 -5 -4 -1.11
325 H New Haven 11- 8 3 4 -0.68
328 A Howard (DC) 8- 7 1 3 - -2.27
404 H Stonehill 10-17 -7 -5 - -2.26
408 A Mercyhurst 13- 6 7 4 + 3.14
411 H Delaware State 19- 2 17 14 0.00
418 A Le Moyne 7-11 -4 -6 + 2.01
425 H Wagner 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.18
430 A Le Moyne 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Rider 8-12 -4 2 -- -5.51
221 A Siena 3-20 -17 -11 - -3.15
328 A Howard (DC) 8- 7 1 3 - -2.27
404 H Stonehill 10-17 -7 -5 - -2.26
430 A Le Moyne 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.99
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 A Manhattan 16-10 6 -1 +++ 6.96
425 H Wagner 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.18
307 H Austin Peay 11- 6 5 3 + 2.46
314 A Central Connecticut 16- 5 11 8 + 3.19
408 A Mercyhurst 13- 6 7 4 + 3.14
418 A Le Moyne 7-11 -4 -6 + 2.01
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 8-12 -27.64 12.52 -1.37 0.96 -13.96
3 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 5-15 -20.30 19.87 1.37 0.96 -9.11
3 N Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 5-16 -18.12 22.05 -0.00 0.96 -8.72
3 A Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 16-10 -27.91 12.26 1.37 0.96 26.22
3 A Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 3-20 -18.01 22.16 1.37 0.96 -8.01
3 H Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 10- 9 -27.07 13.10 -1.37 0.96 22.59
3 H Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 11- 6 -28.67 11.49 -1.37 0.96 19.49
3 H Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 11- 9 -29.12 11.05 -1.37 0.96 18.64
3 A Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 16- 5 -36.68 3.49 1.37 0.96 9.35
3 A LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 8-13 -24.98 15.19 1.37 0.96 -11.36
3 H New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 11- 8 -29.81 10.35 -1.37 0.96 17.30
3 A Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 8- 7 -32.13 8.03 1.37 0.96 18.09
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 10-17 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 0.96 -10.95
3 A Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 13- 6 -32.73 7.44 1.37 0.96 16.95
3 H Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 19- 2 -40.17 1.00 -1.37 0.96 -0.71
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 7-11 -22.86 17.31 1.37 0.96 -10.34
3 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 11- 6 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 0.96 24.74
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 6-16 -22.86 17.31 1.37 0.96 -10.34
------
89.87
|
winning pts = 172.6588 losing points = -82.7907
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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